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CVSS, EPSS and KEV answer different questions

guidescoringprioritization

Most organizations have more vulnerabilities to fix than time to fix them. Three public signals can help decide what comes first, but each answers a different question.

CVSS: how bad could it be?

The Common Vulnerability Scoring System, maintained by FIRST, describes the technical severity of a vulnerability on a scale from 0 to 10. The base score assumes the worst reasonable case and knows nothing about your network or whether anyone is attacking the flaw.

ScoreSeverity
0.0None
0.1 to 3.9Low
4.0 to 6.9Medium
7.0 to 8.9High
9.0 to 10.0Critical

Different CVSS versions can give the same flaw different scores, so always note the version when you compare numbers.

EPSS: how likely is exploitation soon?

The Exploit Prediction Scoring System, also from FIRST, estimates the probability that a vulnerability will be exploited in the next 30 days. It changes as new evidence arrives. BDVDB shows the score with a plain label:

EPSS scoreLabel on BDVDB
Below 1%Very Low
1% to below 10%Low
10% to below 50%Moderate
50% to below 90%High
90% and aboveVery High

These labels are BDVDB’s own convenience. They are not part of the EPSS standard.

KEV: is it already being exploited?

The Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog, published by CISA, lists vulnerabilities with reliable evidence of active exploitation. Being listed is a strong signal. Not being listed tells you very little, because the catalog is selective.

Using them together

A reasonable starting order is:

  1. Anything listed in KEV that you run, starting with systems exposed to the internet.
  2. Vulnerabilities with a high EPSS score and a High or Critical CVSS score.
  3. Remaining Critical and High vulnerabilities, based on how exposed the system is.
  4. Everything else, during normal maintenance.

Your own context always matters. A Medium issue on your public login page can matter more than a Critical issue on an isolated test machine.